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Western Nc - Shad Already Out Of Creeks Back To Main Lake?

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I have not been able to get out nearly as much as I wanted this past summer / Fall fishing.  Lately I've been out trying to locate the shad. I thought for sure I would have not missed them heading back into the creeks / coves.  Yet, my main lake. Water is down to 55-59 range and zero shad I'm finding in creeks / coves. All seem to be on main lake channel.  Have they likely already been to the creeks and back out by now??

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