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Snow for Central Atlantic Coast on Saturday???

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  • Super User

Hey guys, check out the latest from Dave the Weatherman on Saturday's expected snowfall.

 

TV and radio been saying up to 1 inch in the greater Richmond, Virginia area. Dave says up to 8 inches.

 

Hope it misses us altogether.

 

I hate snow.

 

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*** ALERT -- WOOF !! *** CONFIRMED ALL MODEL NOW SHIFTING NORTH AND NW WITH TRACK OF SATURDAY LOW... Richmond & * all of eastern se va see BIG increases in snow amounts from GFS Canadian British Models as well as NEW 3KM WRF and SREF

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  • Super User

Ehhhh, its saturday. I ain't gotta go to work so just gives me a reason to sit around, watch the games and rummage through my fishin' lures. 

My wife always shares the Dave forecast.  Fortunately snow has a short lifespan in our area.  I like snow but I do prefer it doesn't stick around too long.

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  • Super User
9 minutes ago, carsnrockmusic said:

My wife always shares the Dave forecast.  Fortunately snow has a short lifespan in our area.  I like snow but I do prefer it doesn't stick around too long.

 

We may have to wait until Tuesday for the snow to start to melt.

 

Forecasts will have us in Richmond area getting from 4 to 6 inches, if not more, depending on the storm's track.

 

Grocery stores will be crazy on Friday.

 

Stay home; stay safe; and watch TV. The James Madison game is on at noon and the BSC championship at 8PM on Monday night. Plus some really good NFL matchups.

Latest "Dave Forecast" at 9 PM Thursday evening.

Who will be affected by this storm???

 

ALERT FIRST CALL MAP IS HERE & START TIME

There are a few minor changes to the forecast from the FIRST GUESS but no major changes.

At 4:00 PM this afternoon the 18z th th WRF NAM model came out and produced a much larger amount of snow that also move much further inland across all of Virgnia and Maryland. This Model actually drove the 3-4 inch snow line up and Washington, DC and Harrisonburg and 12 inches into Richmond and much of central Virginia. T...his model has a very strong and known well BIAS for producing too much moisture and often runs a little too warm. The 18Z WRF actually showed portions of
eastern North Carolina and Ngas head going over to rain or sleet for a while because the model was developing so much warm air. This model was been ignored because of its known wet bias and because of its well known warm bias.

however the TREND of more snow DEEPER into central and eastern VA into the Delmarva IS real

For this forecast we are basing it off of the 12z THURSDAY afternoon European model (LEFT) and the 18Z or 5:00 PM GFS model (RIGHT). LINK

As you can see these two models are in.. very good agreement and it is the basis of THIS forecast. There is some UNCERTAINTY / difference between the models on the northwest side of the snow shield with respect to where the 1 or 2 inch snow line is going to be. But in general the 4 inch line has pushed further inland as has the 6 inch snow line .

There is some uncertainty as to how much snow Charlotte NC is going to get as some of the Models show that city getting 7-10 inches.

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