Yeah lets not do this thing, Irene.....please track east.

I wouldn't mind a little skirt by with about a foot of rain in the lake and no wind damage.

Looks like right now we're out of the direct path. Even if it keeps tracking east we're going to have some really bad weather towards the end of the week. I don't want anybody to get effected by it, but man I hope it hits somewhere else. My condo in Nassau that I was getting ready to visit in a couple of weeks may not fare too well no matter what direction it goes. Great.

We sure as hell could use some water dumped into Okeechobee though. At least that's going to be a benefit.

If it is a cat 3 or better i dont want it any where near us.

Bahamas arent looking good.

I hope I don't have to put up shutters, 2 story houses suck, especially when its not your home

That's one of the reasons I didn't want a two story. That has got to be one major PITA.

Yes, a foot of water in the Lake would be nice but would like to see it not effect people or property. Forecast doesn't look for the Bahamas. Eric, hope your place over there makes out OK. Looks like we may be on the dry side here in SOFLA but I picked up 40 gals of gasoline for generator just in case. I figured when I popped for shutters a few years ago that would be a hurricane preventative-we'll see.

http://www.wxrisk.com/

Also see my post in Everything Else section.

Irene will skirt Florida, smash into South Carolina and head north to Richmond.

Hope the rain will fill your lakes and ponds in your and my areas.

Went out today and got four large bags of ice and some other staples. Also put fresh batteries in portable TV.

Good luck guys.

http://www.wxrisk.com/

Also see my post in Everything Else section.

Irene will skirt Florida, smash into South Carolina and head north to Richmond.

Hope the rain will fill your lakes and ponds in your and my areas.

Went out today and got four large bags of ice and some other staples. Also put fresh batteries in portable TV.

Good luck guys.

I'd prefer to see it desinigrate overnight. The path has changed substancially in the past few days, as well as the intensity. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. Don't depend on the hurricane center like many people did for Andrew, anything can happen

It will be a Cat 4 when it passes Florida and a Cat 3 when it hits South Carolina.

May turn more east and go over Norfolk and then out to sea.

we should have great surf starting tomorrow.

I've already bought water, getting some gas tonight and crank up the generator at my house and mom's. Making my list for anything else. We could use the water in the lakes though. I hope everyone stays safe.

Here are the latest computer models

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201109_model.html

Just about every year for the past 6 years or so I have been looking at storm predicted tracks vs. actual tracks, most models/forecast are accurate about 2 maybe 3 days out, for example if you looked at this weekends forecast the cone fell directly in lower half of Florida, 3 days later the cone is no where near and keeps moving EAST, so I always take forecast with a grain of salt, tell me two/three days out and then I will start worrying, but these 5 day models are basically worthless.

According to the models we are safe since the general trend moves it further and further from our coast. Wish it would have hit us directly as a Tropical depression or a weak cat 1 to dump rains over the Okeechobee basin, I'd like another 1 1/2' to 2'

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents

South Florida, you are right.

There are a number of computer models and the United States model is wrong more than it is right.

The USA model is the one the National Weather Service uses and it is the basis for your local radio and TV weather reports.

The European model has been the most accurate durnig the past three years. Go to www.wxrisk.com and note what is being said about the storm.

Dave on www.wxrisk.com uses all models but he believes in the European model which has the hurricane smashing into South Carolina and then heading up into Virginia either directly at Richmond or between Richmond and Norfolk.

Time will tell which model makes the correct call and in the meantime you are totally correct in your position.

Well i am supposed to be in the OBX Saturday! Great! To all that live in it's path, prayers for you!

Welcome back!! Lol!!

tell me two/three days out and then I will start worrying, but these 5 day models are basically worthless.

I couldn't agree with you more. I work in the boating industry and we have to move a ton of boats when the storm approaches, so I keep close tabs on the tracks. We will do some coordination and give everyone a heads up as to our intentions five days out, but don't actually start to do anything until the three day forecast comes out.