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The Preakness

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  • “Her mudder was a mudder”    ~ Cosmo Kramer 

  • I'm Blue
    I'm Blue

    We do a family pool,,, my stepson knows NOTHING about horses,,, picks one, throws money in hat and wins EVERY DANG TIME,,, Last 3 years  He has won 7 times.  He picked frikking Country House to win De

  • Hyrule Bass
    Hyrule Bass

    i had the exact same thought, except it wasnt Kramer who said that. Kramer was listening to two other guys talk about horse racing and the weather and one of those guys said it...still hilarious thoug

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Is this where that lady won like 1.2 M off an 18 dollar bet 

  • 2 weeks later...
  • Author

 

A thriller...Justify held off all comers...pressed hard...got the killer 1.5 mile Belmont next that has dashed many...

“Her mudder was a mudder” 

 

~ Cosmo Kramer 

21 hours ago, frosty said:

“Her mudder was a mudder” 

 

~ Cosmo Kramer 

i had the exact same thought, except it wasnt Kramer who said that. Kramer was listening to two other guys talk about horse racing and the weather and one of those guys said it...still hilarious though

1 hour ago, Hyrule Bass said:

i had the exact same thought, except it wasnt Kramer who said that. Kramer was listening to two other guys talk about horse racing and the weather and one of those guys said it...still hilarious though

Well crap. I could have sworn Kramer was saying it to the other two guys, I haven’t seen it for years, but it was the first thing I thought of when I saw the track ?

The Real Preakness Race:

 

 

  • Super User

Will be an interesting last race for the Triple Crown.

 

Would be great to have a new Triple Crown winner.

 

All I can think about is that the track will be dry and we will not have a Triple Crown winner.

  • Author
5 hours ago, Sam said:

Will be an interesting last race for the Triple Crown.

 

Would be great to have a new Triple Crown winner.

 

All I can think about is that the track will be dry and we will not have a Triple Crown winner.

His jockey Mike Smith will probably hold him back this time and try to pace him. The race is a mile and a half. Don't think he can go wire to wire in the lead. Will need gas in the tank at the top of the stretch to make a run for the Triple Crown. If he gets a good ride, believe he will win.

 

13 horses have been in his position before with a Derby & Preakness wins and lost the Belmont...

  • 2 weeks later...
On 5/6/2018 at 9:41 PM, Yeajray231 said:

Is this where that lady won like 1.2 M off an 18 dollar bet 

no.  it was in the Kentucky derby.  pick 5 bet.  

On 5/24/2018 at 7:14 AM, greentrout said:

His jockey Mike Smith will probably hold him back this time and try to pace him. The race is a mile and a half. Don't think he can go wire to wire in the lead. Will need gas in the tank at the top of the stretch to make a run for the Triple Crown. If he gets a good ride, believe he will win.

 

13 horses have been in his position before with a Derby & Preakness wins and lost the Belmont...

i will bet against JUSTIFY.  if the preakness was a few yards longer the colt gets beat.  some fresh horses in the belmont.  BLENDED CITIZEN  won the peter pan at bel that is a prep race for the race.  plus they don't call the track the "Big Sandy" for nothing.  very tiring track with that distance.

 

As for probables/possibles   
Justify
Hofburg
Bravazo
Vino Rosso
My Boy Jack
Tenfold
Blended Citzen
Solomini
Machismo
Free Drop Billy
Gronkowski

there is 3 more races for the 3yo's   MTH the Haskell.  SAR  jim dandy and the "mid summer" derby   the travers.  the the breeders cup.  nov early  churchill downs

  • Author

The latest Vegas odds have Justify at 4/5 odds...his workouts have been very good and he's fit as a fiddle...he's almost 17 hands in height and built like a tank...how Baffert decides to run him will be interesting...the field is nine...

 

Image result for justify

4 hours ago, greentrout said:

The latest Vegas odds have Justify at 4/5 odds...his workouts have been very good and he's fit as a fiddle...he's almost 17 hands in height and built like a tank...how Baffert decides to run him will be interesting...the field is nine...

 

Image result for justify

do you want 4/5 on a win bet?  $3.60.  do not think he will be that low the day.  ALL will bet Justify on top for EX and TRI's and will not pay much.  as far as fit as a fiddle....4 races in 70~ days..tough for a 3 yo. now the longest race yet.  but could be a improving 3 yo.  but...i think a couple others are stronger.  rest.  and there is a angle called a "tandem" race.  horses facing others in a new races that lost can/will come back on the next race out and win.   i do not think justify is is like "american pharoah". last triple crown winner

 Running Style.

Justify...............E/8
Bravazo.............EP/5
Noble Indy.........EP/5
Ten Fold............EP/5
Restoring Hope...EP/4
Hoffburg............P/2
Free Drop Billy....P/1
Vino Roso...........S/3
Blended Citizen...S/2

Speed doesn't win the Belmont, energy distribution does

Saturday, June 9
10 races, highlighted by Belmont Stakes
TV: NBCSN, 2-4 p.m.; NBC, 4-7:15 p.m.

The prospect that Justify may attempt to sweep all three races of the Triple Crown series on something other than a fast track is plenty possible.

Forecasts from the National Weather Service (40 percent), The Weather Channel (40 percent) and AccuWeather (60 percent) all now include rain possibilities in Saturday's forecast for Elmont, N.Y., where they'll head postward for the 2018 Belmont Stakes at 6:46 p.m. ET.

1. 
Justify
Baffert/Smith
4-5
2. 
Free Drop Billy
Romans/Albarado
30-1
3.
Bravazo
Lukas/Saez
8-1
4.
Hofburg
Mott/Irad Ortiz Jr.
9-2
5.
Restoring Hope
Baffert/Geroux
30-1
6. 
Gronkowski
Brown/Jose Ortiz
12-1
7.
Tenfold
Asmussen/Santana Jr.
12-1
8.
Vino Rosso
Pletcher/Velazquez
8-1
9.
Noble Indy
Pletcher/Castellano
30-1
10.
Blended Citizen
O'Neill/Frey
15-1

this fellow does big races.  his handicapping software is over a grand.  

 

  • Author
2 hours ago, halochef said:

this fellow does big races.  his handicapping software is over a grand.  

 

Now you're getting into the weeds...my father has used many systems starting with his days at the New Orleans Fair Grounds, and does not think Jusitify will win...he comes from a gene pool of speed and not endurance but there were nay sayers with Secretariat too..

 

I'll be pulling for him and look for Mike Smith his jockey to put him in a position to win...

 

Saturday will be interesting...

  • Super User

Gonna stop by the track and put $50 on Vino Rosso. The name sounds like a mob-owned horse and you know what they say about mob-owned horses. They run like they've been shot out of a Cadillac. :gun2:

2 hours ago, greentrout said:

Now you're getting into the weeds...my father has used many systems starting with his days at the New Orleans Fair Grounds, and does not think Jusitify will win...he comes from a gene pool of speed and not endurance but there were nay sayers with Secretariat too..

 

I'll be pulling for him and look for Mike Smith his jockey to put him in a position to win...

 

Saturday will be interesting...

yes these are not weeds.  its not a system.  its based on feet per second.  this fellow is one of about a several that base on a certain Dr.s teaching's.  pace analysis.  that includes  fulcrum-ability time-turn time-balance time-energy distribution- total pace potential.  all can be done by hand but the software does it in a few seconds.   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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