If I'm out at daylight it's usually a topwater of some kind.  Either a Yellow Magic popper or a Gunfish.  If the topwater bite is over I usually start with a sq bill.  I also have a pitching bait and a jig ready to go.  

The first lure to hit the water depends on cover, depth, water clarity, etc. I love fishing deep diving crankbaits, but I'm not going to toss them in some lilly pads lol. If I could fish a frog everywhere I fish, I would.

I would love to say I look at weather patterns and then conditions when I get to the water and decide what to try first.  But I'd by lying.  I usually try a new bait at the beginning of the season and will throw that first.  Then if I don't get bit I start using other baits.  2 years ago was t-rigged craws.  Last year was finesse jigs.  This year will probably be the Ned rig with all the good things I've been reading about them.

8" Rising Son

It really doesn't matter, but topwater are entertaining.

Scum frog is first, always.

Mike

If 2 rigs:  Some type of plastic and shallow diving crank.

If 3 rigs I'll add a topwater.