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A-Jay's 3rd Annual Ice Out / Open Water Countdown Thread ~


A-Jay

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48 minutes ago, softwateronly said:

Incoming, neighbors.....

 

 

That was pretty cool!
 

It would be interesting to see where is goes and if it makes it all the way to us, how long it would take to get across the lake. 

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15 hours ago, 12poundbass said:

It’s hot out! Melt baby, melt!

 

 

Yeah, it was 47 today, felt like shorts weather. Went and sat in the boat for a couple hours and made a list of parts and maintenance tasks. Was quite enjoyable.

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3 hours ago, 12poundbass said:

That was pretty cool!
 

It would be interesting to see where is goes and if it makes it all the way to us, how long it would take to get across the lake. 

I hope that sheet calves into a million pieces and melts away before the daylight!!!! 

 

 

 

Is it spring yet?

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2 hours ago, A-Jay said:

Finally ~ There may be a little light at the end of this frozen & snowy tunnel. 

May be an image of sky, tree and text that says 'ATRIRY Nafional Weather Service Gaylord,MI Today Highs: 27-37° Friday Highs: 37-41° Saturday Highs: 38-43 A Look Ahead weather.gov/gaylord Û Here NORTHERN MICHIGAN Sunday Highs: 36-46°'

55 Days & a Wake Up ~

:smiley:

A-Jay


Saturday and Sunday are looking toasty (45 & 50*) with a nice breeze thrown in there. The overnight lows are still looking well below freezing which is a bummer, but still heading in the right direction. 
 

The extended forecast for what it’s worth shows some upper 50 to low 60* days and lows in the upper 30’s, but that’s two weeks out. 
 

Probably not going to make my enthusiastic goal (dam you February) but quite possibly mid March is a possibility. 

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May be an image of sky, snow and text that says 'Today National Wegther Service Gaylord, MI ast pdated: 11/20/2020 2:30 AM Monday Tuesday Wednesday Highs: 33-47° Thursday Highs: 16-29° Highs: 33-37° Highs: 40-48° Highs: 33-44° A Look Ahead ylord NORTHERN MICHIGAN LocalWeather Warnings Start Here'

 

So that's Early Spring today,

then late winter, early spring again, 

then late spring, and back to early spring.

Either way ~ 

52 Days & a Wake Up.

:smiley:

A-Jay

 

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31 minutes ago, A-Jay said:

May be an image of sky, snow and text that says 'Today National Wegther Service Gaylord, MI ast pdated: 11/20/2020 2:30 AM Monday Tuesday Wednesday Highs: 33-47° Thursday Highs: 16-29° Highs: 33-37° Highs: 40-48° Highs: 33-44° A Look Ahead ylord NORTHERN MICHIGAN LocalWeather Warnings Start Here'

 

So that's Early Spring today,

then late winter, early spring again, 

then late spring, and back to early spring.

Either way ~ 

52 Days & a Wake Up.

:smiley:

A-Jay

 

Our temps are pretty close to yours. With no rain in the forecast and no real super high temps, March 6 doesn’t seem obtainable.

 

If the predicted temps for the following week hold true, I can see the ice on our lake at least being gone. Either way, we’re getting closer each day. 

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My cousin was ice fishing on a big lake near me the other day where we have spent most of our lives on. He said there was about 10” of ice. Usually this time of year there’s over 2’. And on the part of Georgian Bay by my house that has ice, there’s only about 8”, and it also has often 2’ this time of year. That means that unless it gets and stays ridiculously cold, I should be able to launch the Smokercraft much, much earlier than normal ??  

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A couple of snow machines went sub surface just south of me yesterday.  Occupants got out alive.  The secret melting sauce seems to come from any rain and overnight air temps over the Mendoza Line.

A-Jay

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15 minutes ago, Way north bass guy said:

My cousin was ice fishing on a big lake near me the other day where we have spent most of our lives on. He said there was about 10” of ice. Usually this time of year there’s over 2’. And on the part of Georgian Bay by my house that has ice, there’s only about 8”, and it also has often 2’ this time of year.


This is us too. We had 2 nasty cold weeks of subzero temps this month but other than that, the winter as a whole was very mild. We didn’t have a single night below zero in January which is very rare. Many lakes around here should have 2 feet of ice this time of year. They have 15-18 inches. Open water is coming sooner solely based on the fact that there isn’t nearly as much to melt.

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10 minutes ago, A-Jay said:

A couple of snow machines went sub surface just south of me yesterday.  Occupants got out alive.  The secret melting sauce seems to come from any rain and overnight air temps over the Mendoza Line.

A-Jay

There were 4 that went in over by Detroit yesterday, one didn’t make it. 
 

There’s one on our lake as we speak, and I saw a side by side yesterday on the lake across the road from ours. 
 

A bit too risky for me. Walking on it, no problem but, a motorized vehicle, nope! 

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A few more widely scattered flurries are possible this morning.

Otherwise…it should be a quiet and cool day with clearing skies.

 

May be an image of snow, sky and text

 

 

 

48 Days and a Wake Up ~

:smiley:

A-Jay

9.jpg

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3 minutes ago, MN Fisher said:

Well, this should be heading your way

https://scontent-ort2-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-0/p180x540/157353543_4051628984870533_6389895893816818390_o.jpg?_nc_cat=103&ccb=3&_nc_sid=730e14&_nc_ohc=pOf3vwMYFzkAX_sx5c_&_nc_ht=scontent-ort2-1.xx&tp=6&oh=5bdb768b006f9837ce534f57d737670f&oe=6067E2B9

Sweet ~

I do fear that some of that heat might get scrubbed off a bit

coming across the lake.

But we'll take whatever we can get.

?

A-Jay

 

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2 hours ago, MN Fisher said:

Well, this should be heading your way

https://scontent-ort2-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-0/p180x540/157353543_4051628984870533_6389895893816818390_o.jpg?_nc_cat=103&ccb=3&_nc_sid=730e14&_nc_ohc=pOf3vwMYFzkAX_sx5c_&_nc_ht=scontent-ort2-1.xx&tp=6&oh=5bdb768b006f9837ce534f57d737670f&oe=6067E2B9

That’s how we’re looking early to mid week next week. The overnight lows are killing the ice melt though, or at least slowing it down quite a bit. 

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16 minutes ago, 12poundbass said:

That’s how we’re looking early to mid week next week. The overnight lows are killing the ice melt though, or at least slowing it down quite a bit. 

Same here, at least until Sunday when we start having above freezing lows. The rain they're predicting for Tues-Night into Wednesday won't hurt either.

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12 minutes ago, MN Fisher said:

Same here, at least until Sunday when we start having above freezing lows. The rain they're predicting for Tues-Night into Wednesday won't hurt either.

As much as I don’t want rain because it’ll make mess of everything I’ll welcome any rain we get to speed things up. 

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Mud season is here @A-Jay! I just found a trench that was covered in mud. It put up a good fight, but I wasn’t about to let the mud take me. 
 

@MN Fisher No more than 10 minutes after saying I’ll welcome the rain this happens. I’m rethinking the rain deal. ?

 

 

7F30B715-A275-47AA-9F24-03854C103C45.jpeg

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51 minutes ago, MN Fisher said:

Same here, at least until Sunday when we start having above freezing lows. The rain they're predicting for Tues-Night into Wednesday won't hurt either.

I can't recall what I predicted for an ice out this spring but I'm pretty sure I said early April.  Maybe like April 2 or 3.  That's less a month now and based on what I see in the forecast there is a real possibility of that.

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1 minute ago, gimruis said:

I can't recall what I predicted for an ice out this spring but I'm pretty sure I said early April.  Maybe like April 2 or 3.  That's less a month now and based on what I see in the forecast there is a real possibility of that.

You said the 4th...I said the 12th - I think it'll be somewhere in that range if the weather holds.

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