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A-Jay's 4th Annual Ice Out / Open Water Countdown Thread ~

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  • Super User

Sunny and high 50s. I'm itching'. 

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  • We're out!!  Went out this morning. Chilly start and still some ice over a cove we fish in the spring that produces very well, as you can see in my buddy's background. Jerkbaits fished as close t

  • BOOM ~ ! Lake Menderchuck west just went open water this afternoon ~ You know where I'll be tomorrow  . .  And so it begins  . . . Very exciting . . .  A-Jay

  • FishinBuck07
    FishinBuck07

    Got out today and managed my first largie of the year, on a jerkbait!  Never caught a fish on a jerkbait.

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  • Super User

Mostly not a huge surprise that the prediction I made more than 18 weeks ago didn't happen.

Looking at hard water now is wildly disappointing.

The local weather is totally trending in the right direction

with above freezing air temps day & night along with some serious rain action. 

So while the Over 3025 hours seems long enough for me, 

remembering what was happening a year ago today is fun and does test my patience. 

Maybe next week.

:smiley:

A-Jay

 

  • Super User
13 minutes ago, A-Jay said:

Mostly not a huge surprise that the prediction I made more than 18 weeks ago didn't happen.

Looking at hard water now is wildly disappointing.

I hear you there, Andy. I think my prediction was a little long - we're moving along on Tonka...all the channels are open and a couple of the smaller lakes in the chain are near 1/2 open.

 

I think it's gonna be between average (13 April) and my prediction (27 April) when we have official ice-out here.

  • Super User
2 hours ago, A-Jay said:

Maybe next week.

Ya'll have more of that rain on the way ?. Maybe the 15th? Sun peeks out a little after those warm rainy days

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52 minutes ago, LrgmouthShad said:

Ya'll have more of that rain on the way ?. Maybe the 15th? Sun peeks out a little after those warm rainy days

I could see it being a couple of days sooner ~

:smiley:

A-Jay

  • Super User
4 hours ago, MN Fisher said:

I think it's gonna be between average (13 April) and my prediction (27 April) when we have official ice-out here.

I saw some smaller lakes yesterday that were 75% ice free.  Average ice out date for Tonka is April 14, so it looks to be pretty close to that now.

 

It really hasn't been that warm here the past 7-10 days.  But the rain that has steadily fallen the last few weeks has really chewed up the ice.

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Did some local Lake Menderchuck RECON with Tank yesterday ~

Still Iced Up.

But I pulled the drive way markers and stowed the Snow blower for the 'season'.

So that felt pretty good.

:smiley:

A-Jay

  • Super User

Several small lakes near me were wide open last night.  Won't be long now.

  • Super User
2 minutes ago, gimruis said:

Several small lakes near me were wide open last night.  Won't be long now.

Had a couple errands in St. Louis Park and Minnetonka today and passed by quite a bit of Tonka's north end. Most of the smaller lakes in the chain are 90%+ open (Black, Emerald, Tanager that I saw). Also, some of the larger bays are either 50%+ open or have massive holes and leads in them (Spring Park, Lafayette, Smiths, Browns)

 

I think it might be pretty close to average ice-out this year.

  • Super User
1 minute ago, MN Fisher said:

I think it might be pretty close to average ice-out this year.

That's what I like to hear.  I figured it might be with all the rain we've had the last few weeks.  It really hasn't been that warm, but rain eats away at it pretty quick.

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9 minutes ago, TnRiver46 said:

I can’t wait to see some fish pics from up north after ice out! They should be feeling their oats and chomping at the bit 

You & me both my friend ~

Hope that guy in the HUK gear gets a few.

:smiley:

A-Jay

  • Global Moderator
2 hours ago, A-Jay said:

You & me both my friend ~

Hope that guy in the HUK gear gets a few.

:smiley:

A-Jay

If you’re getting the same temps the next 48-72 hours like we are down here then you should see at least a little bit of open water. 

My buddy has been catching nice lm and pike on his vibrating jig from shore on his lunchbreak. (he works on fancy homes on lakes) Of course i am jealous...

  • Super User

We're getting some pretty heavy rain right now which will help immensely.

 

Local lakes already designated as ice-free include Whaletail yesterday, which is one of the lakes I plan on hitting this year and Virginia the day before, which while not considered part of the Tonka chain is connected to Tonka via a channel.

 

  • Super User
9 hours ago, MN Fisher said:

We're getting some pretty heavy rain right now which will help immensely.

 

I got smoked last night.  Two waves of down pour and one of them had small BB sized hail.  I think there is a good possibility that most of the metro lakes will be declared as ice out today after that heavy rain last night.

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65 degrees here yesterday ~ Lakes still froze.

Thunder Storms last night and cold / rain next several days.

Feels worse than Deep winter right now waiting for this one . . . . 

:smiley:

A-Jay

 

  • Super User

We might hit 80 today. So much for spring. 

12 pages of depression, I mean anticipation

GIF by Mystery Tackle Box

 

Hoping for the ice melt to come soon!!

  • Super User

We're getting closer

 

Two of the 'mid-size' lakes in the west metro got declared ice-free today

Buffalo and Waconia are now open for business.

  • Super User
46 minutes ago, MN Fisher said:

We're getting closer

 

Two of the 'mid-size' lakes in the west metro got declared ice-free today

Buffalo and Waconia are now open for business.

I saw Medicine Lake in Plymouth was declared ice free today too.  That is a sizable lake just east of Tonka.

  • Super User
10 hours ago, A-Jay said:

65 degrees here yesterday ~ Lakes still froze.

Thunder Storms last night and cold / rain next several days.

Feels worse than Deep winter right now waiting for this one . . . . 

:smiley:

A-Jay

 

How many weeks, days and a wake up?

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30 minutes ago, DitchPanda said:

How many weeks, days and a wake up?

Tomorrow will be a week PAST my predicted date.

So I'm is some type of negative time warp 

with everything in suspended animation . . . 

:smiley:

A-Jay 

  • Super User
1 minute ago, A-Jay said:

Tomorrow will be a week PAST my predicted date.

So I'm is some type of negative time warp 

with everything in suspended animation . . . 

:smiley:

A-Jay 

 

Season 3 Episode 24 GIF by Paramount+

  • Super User
15 minutes ago, A-Jay said:

Tomorrow will be a week PAST my predicted date.

So I'm is some type of negative time warp 

with everything in suspended animation . . . 

:smiley:

A-Jay 

Ah yes my friend..upside down world..I have been there!

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